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342 Uppsatser om Odds ratio - Sida 1 av 23

Sannolikheter i fotbollsmatcher : -Kan man skapa användbara odds med hjälp av statistiska metoder?

Betting under ordered forms has been around for a long time, but the recent increase in Internet betting and the large sums of money that are now involved makes it even more important for betting companies to have correct odds. The purpose of the essay is to calculate probabilities for outcomes of football games using a statistical model and to see if you can find better odds than a betting company.The data contains the 380 games from the 2004/2005 season and the variables form, head-to-heads, league position, points, home/away, average attendance, promoted team, distance and final league position from previous season. After performing an ordered probit regression we only find the variable ?form of the away team? to be significant at the 5 % level. We suspect the presence of multicollinearity and perform a VIF-test which confirms this. To fix this problem we perform a second ordered probit regression where a number of variables are combined to index variables. In the second regression we once again find only one significant variable.

Pokerboten

Syftet med följande examensarbete är att undersöka teorier och få fram idéer om hur man kan bygga en bot som spelar poker. Ett viktigt ämne som studeras är artificiell intelligens och hur ett AI kan utvecklas hos en bot som ska ersätta en mänsklig pokerspelare spelandes i ett nätverk. Studien ger en inblick om spelregler för Texas Hold?em och går även in på teori om betydelsefull statistik, sannolikhet och odds. Resultatet av denna undersökning består av framtagna algoritmer som kan användas vid utveckling av en bot som spelar poker på ett bord med tio spelare..

De svenska börsbolagens prioriteringar mellan investeringspolitik och utdelningspolitik : En studie av sambandet mellan investeringspolitik och utdelningspolitik i förhållande till börsvärde

The relationship between dividend policy and investment is a controversial area and the relationship between these two may differ depending on the company's priorities. The study examines this more closely by studying dividend policy's impact on investment and how it differs depending on the company?s market capitalization. The study is based on companies listed on the OMX Stockholm within the segments Large Cap and Small Cap, during the period between 2003-2012. Secondary data was obtained from each company's annual reports where relevant data was used to operationalized into measurable variables.

Beräkning av sannolikheter för utfall i fotbollsmatcher : Oddsen på din sida

Uppsatsen skapar en statistisk modell för beräkning av sannolikheter för utfall vid Allsvenska fotbollsmatcher. Modellens skattade sannolikheter för hemmavinst, oavgjort och bortavinst jämförs med utvalt spelbolag och visar på likvärdiga estimat. Utifrån de skattade sannolikheterna skapas odds som genererar lägre förluster än spelbolaget vid test utifrån ett spelbolags synvinkel. Sannolikheterna används även från en spelares perspektiv till att skapa ett spelsystem som genererar en positiv avkastning..

Intentionen till generositet - Hur den påverkas av gener, hormoner och religiositet

Many studies have pointed out that generosity depends on different things like gender, age and nationality. We wanted to see if predetermined factors like genetics also had an effect on the intention of generosity. There is a ratio between the index finger (2D) and ring finger (4D) that is determined by the levels of testosterone in the amniotic fluid and that have had some significant effect on personality attributes like musical and leadership skills. We wanted to see if that ratio had any effect on the intention of generosity. We experimentally examined a group of priest student and two groups of young handball players and let the groups answer a survey that included a sort of dictator game and we photo copied their hands to get their 2D:4D-ratio.

Intellektuellt kapital - En svårfångad värdeskapare

Intellektuellt kapital anses av ma?nga vara en av de sto?rsta drivande faktorerna till fo?retags framga?ng och i litteraturen va?rderas den ofta som skillnaden mellan ett fo?retags marknadsva?rde och dess bokfo?rda va?rde. Market-to-book ratio a?r det relativa ma?ttet som beskriver denna skillnad och go?r det mo?jligt att ja?mfo?ra detta va?rde med andra fo?retag. Ma?let med denna uppsats a?r att underso?ka hur fo?retag redogo?r fo?r sitt intellektuella kapital och utreda hur detta reflekteras i fo?retags market-to-book ratio.

Hörselnedsättning bland diabetiker med typ 1-diabetes respektive typ 2-diabetes ? en jämförande metaanalys

Background: Diabetes mellitus is one of today's major public health problems, affecting up to 347 million people worldwide. Several studies have shown a correlation between hearing loss and diabetes mellitus. However, it is still unclear whether this correlation differs between type 1-diabetes and type 2-diabetes.Purpose: The purpose of this study is to investigate whether there is any difference in prevalence of hearing loss in type 1-diabetics versus type 2-diabetics.Method: A meta-analysis was performed based on ten studies that were identified through the database PubMed and through manual searching of references. Odds ratios for the risk of developing hearing loss were calculated in each study. Pooled Odds ratios were calculated using a random effects model.Results: Pooled Odds ratios indicates that both type 1-diabetics and type 2-diabetics are more likely to develope hearing loss compared to non-diabetic controls.

Heuristisk detektering av trojaner

The heuristic methods used by the anti-trojan application TrojanHunter have been evaluated. The evaluation shows that the heuristic scan engine of TrojanHunter has a very good detection ratio and that the detection ratio can be even further improved by implementing the suggested improvements, the most important of which is a white list to avoid misidentifying files that are known not to be trojans..

Är Sambandet Mellan Utdelningsandel och Framtida Vinsttillväxt Positivt

Common wisdom dictates that because payment of dividends decreases funds available for investment, a high payout ratio is to be associated with low earnings growth. This notion has been challenged in recent years by empirical research that has found a positive relationship between payout ratio and future earnings growth, both on the aggregated market level and the company level in different countries. This study investigated the aforementioned relationship on the Swedish market by statistically analyzing future earnings growth as a function of payout ratio on a large sample of publicly listed companies over the period 1980 to 2011. The results are in line with those found in previous research and indicate that companies with high dividend payout ratio tend to experience strong future earnings growth. The results are robust to the presence of mean reversion, the use of an alternative accounting measure of earnings, non-symmetrical earnings growth cycles and alternative practices for dealing with outliers..

Marknadsvärde, skulder och lönsamhet : En analys av dess samvariation

How debt affects companies is an issue that has received much attention. The fact that researchers disagree can make it hard for companies to choose a financingpolicy that maximizes the value of the firm and its return on equity. In a world with investors that are seeking to maximize profits the value of the firm can be affected differently by different economic conditions. The intention of this study is to answer these issues with quantitive methods, with focus on year 2010 and 2009, where the value of the firm is defined as P/E and P/B ratio. The outcome showed that liabilities only affected return on equity significant in one of four cases, and liabilites didn?t affect the value of companies significantly in any of these.

Finansiella Illusioner : ett test av Stockholmsbörsens effektivitet

Background: Low Price-Earnings ratio, low Book-to market ratio and low stock prices can give the impression that a stock is ?cheap?. Is it through systematic use of these portfolio strategies possible to beat the market index ? in other words does financial illusions exist? Purpose: To examine if the Stockholm Stock Exchange is an efficient market. Limitations: The efficiency is tested solely through the chosen portfolio strategies: low Price-Earnings ratio, low Book-to-market ratio and low stock prices.

Design av en ejektorspädare samt ett system för partikelmassmätning av dieselavgaser

This master thesis was a subtask of a project called EMIR-1. The goal with the thesis was tobuild a system for particulate mass measurements in one of the engine test cells at KTH. Theparticulate mass measurements are planned to be measured with a TEOM.The exhaust gases must first be diluted with air before the sample is sent to the TEOM.Therefore an ejector diluter for this matter also was designed and evaluated in the thesis.Emissions measurements have been done both with and without dilution to determine thedilution ratio. Tests have been done for different speeds and loads.Problems with stability of the dilution ratio have been an issue throughout the process andpressure pulsations in the exhaust pipe are believed to be the cause. More tests have to be done tomake sure that this is the problem.One idea is to make the inner diameter of the diluter nozzle smaller and see if it changes thedilution ratio stability.

Förälder och förvärvsarbetande : En kombination som leder till konflikt eller balans?

Denna undersökning tar sin utgångspunkt i rollteori, där det finns två motstridiga perspektiv. Enligt rollstressperspektivet antas att multipla roller leder till rollkonflikt, medan de multipla rollerna enligt rollexpansionsteorin väntas ge positiva konsekvenser. Denna studies hypoteser utgår från rollexpansionsperspektivet då multipla roller väntas ha ett samband med positiva konsekvenser. Hypoteserna är att kvinnor och män som arbetar heltid har högre odds att uppleva balans än de som arbetar deltid eller övertid. Kort och lång föräldraledighet förväntas påverka kvinnors och mäns upplevda balans negativt, medan medellång föräldraledighet förväntas påverka kvinnors och mäns upplevda balans positivt.

Nyckeltal : En översyn av vilka nyckeltal som används i praktiken

Aim: A business ratio is a measuring instrument that companies use in their financial report to show profit and progress. As it is today, there are no standards to follow that shows which business ratio to present in a companies annual report. Our aim with this report is to see if there are any trends in the use of business ratios by looking into how thirty growth companies are applying them.Method: To see what business ratios are used in practice, we have collected information from the thirty companies? annual reports. With help from the literature, we have created an understanding about the most frequently used business ratios.

Faktorer som påverkar kapitalstrukturen i nordiska fastighetsbolag

The bachelor's thesis is to examine the explanatory factors affecting the choice of capital structure in real estate companies. The analysis is based on data collected from the main financial reporting from 2007; all listed real estate companies listed on Swedish, Norwegian, Danish and Finnish stock market. Based on previous research and theories, we have defined five independent variables that are linked to the debt ratio, which are: profitability, growth, firm size, cost of debt and operational risk. The statistical tests have resulted in that we can say with certainty that profitable firms tend to have a lower debt to equity ratio. We can also say with certainty that property companies with high interest costs have a high level of indebtedness..

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